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maxthesax

22 year old minor leaguer with 5 CP only gets 47 chances

November 11, 2015 at 06:32PM View BBCode

http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?player=nobody&mode=stats&id=11648173

according to the rule book, a player with 5 CP should receive 64 chances - heck, this guy was low for a 3CP guy - what gives???
(and yes, he was my #1 pick, so of course he had the 5 CP on him ALL season).
bahstonwedsawks

November 11, 2015 at 06:53PM View BBCode

The odds are that on average he'll receive the number of chances stated in the rulebook. But there is a great deal of volatility. It's just the random chance factor of rolling a pair of dice.
todd999430

November 14, 2015 at 12:26AM View BBCode

Originally posted by maxthesax
http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?player=nobody&mode=stats&id=11648173

according to the rule book, a player with 5 CP should receive 64 chances - heck, this guy was low for a 3CP guy - what gives???
(and yes, he was my #1 pick, so of course he had the 5 CP on him ALL season).


I'm more concerned about your signature and how quick you are to rebuild after a World Series win. Please discuss.
Frunobulax

November 17, 2015 at 01:12PM View BBCode

Did you have more than 15 players in the minors?

Did you assign less than 20 CPs at any point of the season? This would lead to such a thing.

If we have normal distributed variables then it should be very unlikely that such a thing happens. As a rule of thumb, if you expect 64 chances then the actual value should be with very high probability in a range like 54 to 74.
Frunobulax

November 17, 2015 at 02:19PM View BBCode

Originally posted by todd999430
I'm more concerned about your signature and how quick you are to rebuild after a World Series win. Please discuss.


Discuss what? Because he rebuilds when he still has valuable pieces to move?

In the [url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=124615]Cy Young League[/url] I inherited a team that didn't rebuild when it had some valuable players left. Instead the owner left, the team had exactly one decent player that was younger than OS32. The result were 7 seasons with a combined 343-791 record, that's a .302 winning percentage. 7 seasons where the only excitement is whether you get the #1 overall pick or not - I'd advise to avoid that if possible :)

OTOH, I started a rebuild in the OCL after a 107 win season in 2142.
[url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=13331]Look what happened.[/url]
(That 111 win season in 2144 was after getting demoted to AAA, where there's less competition.)

The same works with my [url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=30478]LA team[/url], where I entered a rebuild 2 seasons ago. I figure to be around .500 for 2-3 seasons before I will hopefully be again in playoff contention.

.f

[Edited on 11-17-2015 by Frunobulax]

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