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maxthesax

22 year old minor leaguer with 5 CP only gets 47 chances

November 11, 2015 at 06:32PM View BBCode

http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?player=nobody&mode=stats&id=11648173

according to the rule book, a player with 5 CP should receive 64 chances - heck, this guy was low for a 3CP guy - what gives???
(and yes, he was my #1 pick, so of course he had the 5 CP on him ALL season).
bahstonwedsawks

November 11, 2015 at 06:53PM View BBCode

The odds are that on average he'll receive the number of chances stated in the rulebook. But there is a great deal of volatility. It's just the random chance factor of rolling a pair of dice.
todd999430

November 14, 2015 at 12:26AM View BBCode

Originally posted by maxthesax
http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?player=nobody&mode=stats&id=11648173

according to the rule book, a player with 5 CP should receive 64 chances - heck, this guy was low for a 3CP guy - what gives???
(and yes, he was my #1 pick, so of course he had the 5 CP on him ALL season).


I'm more concerned about your signature and how quick you are to rebuild after a World Series win. Please discuss.
Frunobulax

November 17, 2015 at 01:12PM View formatted

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Did you have more than 15 players in the minors?

Did you assign less than 20 CPs at any point of the season? This would lead to such a thing.

If we have normal distributed variables then it should be very unlikely that such a thing happens. As a rule of thumb, if you expect 64 chances then the actual value should be with very high probability in a range like 54 to 74.
Frunobulax

November 17, 2015 at 02:19PM View BBCode

Originally posted by todd999430
I'm more concerned about your signature and how quick you are to rebuild after a World Series win. Please discuss.


Discuss what? Because he rebuilds when he still has valuable pieces to move?

In the [url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=124615]Cy Young League[/url] I inherited a team that didn't rebuild when it had some valuable players left. Instead the owner left, the team had exactly one decent player that was younger than OS32. The result were 7 seasons with a combined 343-791 record, that's a .302 winning percentage. 7 seasons where the only excitement is whether you get the #1 overall pick or not - I'd advise to avoid that if possible :)

OTOH, I started a rebuild in the OCL after a 107 win season in 2142.
[url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=13331]Look what happened.[/url]
(That 111 win season in 2144 was after getting demoted to AAA, where there's less competition.)

The same works with my [url=http://simdynasty.com/ownerteam.jsp?teamid=30478]LA team[/url], where I entered a rebuild 2 seasons ago. I figure to be around .500 for 2-3 seasons before I will hopefully be again in playoff contention.

.f

[Edited on 11-17-2015 by Frunobulax]

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