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Would it be fair to assume that will continue, or would it be foolish? Would it be wise to assume the lesser player is higher in the attributes than you surmised at the beginning of the season, and the better player is actually lower in the attributes than originally estimated...?
Case in point. I am about to play a tiebreaker for the right to advance into the playoffs in the Ron Santo League. Here is my team's [url=http://www.simdynasty.com/depth.jsp?teamid=23109]depth chart[/url]. At the beginning of the year, I picked these three players as the best graded OFers to patrol the outer confines of the Boomyard.
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11677234]LF Willie Cartwright[/url]
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11582134]CF Bobby Allison[/url]
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11612285]RF Angel Harris[/url]
They all played marvelously. Now, however, we are up against a tough LHP in this tiebreaker. Cartwright has hit lefties at a .335 clip. Allison at .281, and Harris at .309. But [url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11677269]reserve OF Gil Congalton[/url] has hit lefties at a .367 pace, albeit in a small sample size of 30 AB.
Gradewise, he and Allison score out the same vs LHP but Allison is the far superior defender, so I went with him.
So do I go with the hot hand (Congalton) or the better grades (Allison)?
Discuss.
Playoffs - Hot Hand vs. Superior Grades?
March 01, 2016 at 01:51AM View BBCode
I suspect all you veterans out there are going to say go with the superior grades and that's the way I lean, as well ... but I'm wondering: it seems that in certain codebit's cases, random chance seems to favor them over players with clearly superior grades, i.e. the poorer codebit will outperform the better one, statistically.Would it be fair to assume that will continue, or would it be foolish? Would it be wise to assume the lesser player is higher in the attributes than you surmised at the beginning of the season, and the better player is actually lower in the attributes than originally estimated...?
Case in point. I am about to play a tiebreaker for the right to advance into the playoffs in the Ron Santo League. Here is my team's [url=http://www.simdynasty.com/depth.jsp?teamid=23109]depth chart[/url]. At the beginning of the year, I picked these three players as the best graded OFers to patrol the outer confines of the Boomyard.
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11677234]LF Willie Cartwright[/url]
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11582134]CF Bobby Allison[/url]
[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11612285]RF Angel Harris[/url]
They all played marvelously. Now, however, we are up against a tough LHP in this tiebreaker. Cartwright has hit lefties at a .335 clip. Allison at .281, and Harris at .309. But [url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=11677269]reserve OF Gil Congalton[/url] has hit lefties at a .367 pace, albeit in a small sample size of 30 AB.
Gradewise, he and Allison score out the same vs LHP but Allison is the far superior defender, so I went with him.
So do I go with the hot hand (Congalton) or the better grades (Allison)?
Discuss.
tworoosters
If the LHP is a power guy I'd go with Allison but if the pitcher is control heavy with less than red letter velocity then I'd probably take a chance on Congalton in the 7 or 8 hole.
March 01, 2016 at 02:34AM View BBCode
Career wise it's pretty much a coin toss, Allison has .771 OPs to Congalton's .760 but Congalton has a .445 slugging % vs. 402.If the LHP is a power guy I'd go with Allison but if the pitcher is control heavy with less than red letter velocity then I'd probably take a chance on Congalton in the 7 or 8 hole.
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