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gannable

ABE is broken

December 16, 2015 at 05:19AM View BBCode

There's no way SF should be winning the division; in fact they're running away with it.

They shouldn't even be competing. Philly is better at every position and should be about 15 games ahead of SF

Someone tell ADMIN the skills of the players aren't coinciding with actual performance in the HBL. There must be a big in the program


http://simdynasty.com/depth.jsp?teamid=84875

http://simdynasty.com/depth.jsp?teamid=84943

In fact, Philly probably won't even make the playoffs.

http://simdynasty.com/depth.jsp?teamid=84895

As the owner of Philly, I have no issue losing to the LA team; in fact they've gotten screwed during their current run. They deserve to get a break in the post-season.
However, there is clearly a bug in the program if SF beats out either PHilly or LA.

Admin, please correct it
dirtdevil

December 16, 2015 at 01:21PM View BBCode

may I introduce you to the 1988 LA Dodgers?
pittstlrs

December 16, 2015 at 03:56PM View BBCode

Why should we even play the season then? Whoever collects the most red letter guys should automatically be given the championship.
gannable

December 16, 2015 at 04:58PM View BBCode

88 Dodgers had the best pitcher and the best hitter in the league

This isn't a case of having "Red letter guys"; 8 of them are A overall players

SF's 1st starter would be lucky to be my setup reliever; and my lineup and defense is vastly superior to SF. For me to build a masterpiece and then have an obviously inferior not only beat my team oout of the playoffs but to run away with the division is outrageous.
The two best teams in the entire league are Philly and LA and we're forced to chase a team that should be 12 games back in 3rd place. And only one us will make the playoffs

I'm relieved I still own all my #1 picks plus an extra first; at least I'll get a good player in the draft.

People always ask me, "gannable why do you always have to build teams that are absolutely perfect."

gannable's answer, "because gannable has won WS with only perfect teams. gannable has never won a WS when they were an inferior squad. Gannable may have been an equal but he has never beaten a superior team in the WS. Gannable has to have an all all star team to have any hope of winning the WS. He's lost countless WS and playoffs to inferior teams."

And that may be the problem - my Philly team isn't "perfect" in the bullpen. It's excellent but its not perfect. I'm trying to withhold young assets in order to have a 20-25 yr run but obviously ABE doesn't want me to do that. Abe is trying to force me to trade an asset that i shouldn't need to trade at this juncture in order to make the playoffs. Meanwhile SF continues to dominate with B- velocity pitchers
ccox

December 16, 2015 at 05:08PM View BBCode

Give me a break, imabundy3. Your team may have better pieces overall but that doesn't guarantee a playoff birth or indicate ABE's busted. My guess is you've lost a lot of 1-run or close games. Maybe SF is more adept at managerial preferences. Or maybe you've just been unlucky. Anyway, the season isn't over yet.

[Edited on 12-16-2015 by ccox]
gannable

December 16, 2015 at 05:30PM View BBCode

its more like SF has been outrageously lucky


criminally lucky
dirtdevil

December 16, 2015 at 05:42PM View BBCode

Originally posted by gannable
88 Dodgers had the best pitcher and the best hitter in the league

they had the MVP. that's far from the same thing as the best hitter. by any other metric Gibson was at best the 4th or 5th best hitter in the league. that's not really the point though. the point is, the best team on paper does not always win. the end.
gannable

December 16, 2015 at 05:54PM View BBCode

Hey, I said I'd accept losing to LA because they've gotten some ABE screw jobs and their team is still on my team's level.

However, SF is inferior and 99% of the time they'd be behind both PHilly and LA by 12 games at this point in the season.

I could accept the fact that an obviously inferior team sometimes wins the WS when I'm finally the beneficiary. The first time I don't need an all all star team to win the WS I'll rescind my complaint.
ccox

December 16, 2015 at 06:36PM View BBCode

Gannable, you shouldn't take someone's luck (or your lack of) so personally. There's a guy in my league who's 2 away from a playoff spot 92 games in with 3 B overall starters and a leadoff hitter who's D+/B vRHP. His best hitter (A+/A vRHP) is batting 7th.

Sometimes teams simply defy the odds.
tm4559

December 16, 2015 at 07:01PM View BBCode

Originally posted by gannable

However, there is clearly a bug in the program if SF beats out either PHilly or LA.

Admin, please correct it


um. if there was a bug in the program, it would be happening in a lot of leagues, if not all of them. are you suggesting your league is running different code? code with a bug in it that is downgrading some team and making another team play better?

here is the thing. you don't have to believe this, i am going to tell you a true fact.

players, yes, entire teams, can get lucky (or unlucky, if you don't want to recognize luck as a thing that can be positive or negative) for a whole season for more. there, it has been said. that is the nature of the random distribution.

every game is made of a series of batter-pitcher matchups. within each one of those matchups? the biggest factor is.........

do you know what it is?

its..........[size=64]LUCK[/size].

(it has to be, you see? or the A/A+ hitter would hit like .400 every, single, season. if not more.)

and because of that simple fact, it is possible for a player or a whole team to get lucky or unlucky for a whole season or more. it is not probable.

probabilities give an expectation of what might happen in a given event. what actually happens can be anything that is possible. and the improbable can happen again and again and again.

(the more times the process is repeated, of course, the smaller will be the variance. as the number of trials grows to infinity the variance grows to zero. one season? is nothing like infinity ok? not even close.)
gannable

December 16, 2015 at 07:05PM View BBCode

yea,


but when am i going to get lucky?

why never me?????

I don't think ADMIN likes me
tm4559

December 16, 2015 at 07:23PM View BBCode

lol. your day may never come. the notion that a hitter, for instance, is due because he hasn't had a hit in so long, has no basis in fact. in truth, it does not have to ever get another hit. its not probable, of course.

:spin:
lyle

December 17, 2015 at 01:53AM View BBCode

:rolleyes::yawn::yawn::yawn::yawn::yawn::rolleyes:

[Edited on 12-17-2015 by lyle]
Frunobulax

December 21, 2015 at 02:30PM View BBCode

Originally posted by gannable
This isn't a case of having "Red letter guys"; 8 of them are A overall players

SF's 1st starter would be lucky to be my setup reliever; and my lineup and defense is vastly superior to SF.

[...]
"because gannable has won WS with only perfect teams. gannable has never won a WS when they were an inferior squad.


If you can win only world series with absolutely perfect teams, then you haven't figured out how to set strategies and stadium dimensions to your advantage.

However, you have a very weak batter with Ruescher in the lineup who has started 59 games so far. You'd be surprised to see how offensive performance drops if you have one really weak player in the lineup. Clark had a bad year and Ruescher was amazingly lucky to bat .280, but still - had you started Clark throughout the season then you'd probably lead your division.

Regards, F.
WillyD

December 21, 2015 at 05:00PM View BBCode

SF has a very weak #8 hitter too.

The main reason is that SF has hit 224 HR halfway thru September, and is leading the league in runs scored. That combined with the fact that they have the 5th best team OBP in the league, is the most likely reason they've jumped to the top of the standings a year or two earlier than most of us expected.
gannable

December 23, 2015 at 04:06AM View BBCode

SF has some guys with A+ power B contact
ive noticed those guys are typically studs


actually, never mind, he only has 2 of those. for some reason i thought he had about 4

[Edited on 12-23-2015 by gannable]
nuzzy62

December 26, 2015 at 04:07PM View BBCode

Originally posted by gannable
yea,


but when am i going to get lucky?

why never me?????

I don't think ADMIN likes me


Aww, I miss your posts from football.
nuzzy62

December 26, 2015 at 04:09PM View BBCode

Originally posted by dirtdevil
Originally posted by gannable
88 Dodgers had the best pitcher and the best hitter in the league

they had the MVP. that's far from the same thing as the best hitter. by any other metric Gibson was at best the 4th or 5th best hitter in the league. that's not really the point though. the point is, the best team on paper does not always win. the end.


[url=http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1379230-the-10-worst-mlb-teams-ever-to-win-the-world-series/page/2]10 worst teams to win the World Series[/url]

This list is biased towards the last 30 years, but that's more to due with more teams being eligible for the playoffs and being able to run the table against superior squads.

[Edited on 12-26-2015 by nuzzy62]
mr1313

December 26, 2015 at 04:36PM View BBCode

Originally posted by gannable

However, SF is inferior and 99% of the time they'd be behind both PHilly and LA by 12 games at this point in the season.



So ABE is right 99 percent of the time and you want admin to fix the problem that your team isn't winning? It usually evens out as the season goes on.
gannable

December 26, 2015 at 05:48PM View BBCode

well, SF wound up smoking me in 5 games.

My premonitions are usually correct.

I knew after the first 20 games SF was going to smoke me in the playoffs.
I could sense it.
I use the Force.

I can sense getting another beat down by SF this upcoming season.

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