 |
View Old Forum Thread
Old Forum Index » Baseball Beta Testing » Beta News » Stealing Test Run
Dagwood30
The major league average (as posted by Bob) for last season was 135 attempts and a 68% success rate.
based on these numbers, these stats seem so far out of whack it hurts.
1) The D speed team set on ultra conservative had 108 attempts!!! Just my opinion but should the B team set on moderate roughly average 138 attempts?
2) The B team set at moderate had a success rate of 52%!!! Shouldn't an average speed team set at an average agressive mode have roughly an average of 68%?
p.s I considered B average as an easier way of controlling overall attempts and success rate. Simply the average basestealer would have atleast above average speed.
May 15, 2003 at 07:05PM View BBCode
I'm sorry to be posting here, but I couldn't help myself.The major league average (as posted by Bob) for last season was 135 attempts and a 68% success rate.
based on these numbers, these stats seem so far out of whack it hurts.
1) The D speed team set on ultra conservative had 108 attempts!!! Just my opinion but should the B team set on moderate roughly average 138 attempts?
2) The B team set at moderate had a success rate of 52%!!! Shouldn't an average speed team set at an average agressive mode have roughly an average of 68%?
p.s I considered B average as an easier way of controlling overall attempts and success rate. Simply the average basestealer would have atleast above average speed.
tysonlowery
May 15, 2003 at 08:40PM View BBCode
Do you know if the 68% success rate that you're quoting on stealing 2nd or stealing 2nd and 3rd?
Dagwood30
p.s. I have some free time right now and have been toying with a scale if your interested.
May 15, 2003 at 08:44PM View BBCode
I hate to assume, I'm just going to guess since Bob said league average it means 2nd and 3rd.p.s. I have some free time right now and have been toying with a scale if your interested.
Bob
May 15, 2003 at 10:26PM View BBCode
Correct -- that was the overall success rate last year, so it includes steals of 2nd, 3rd and home (if there were any last season).
tysonlowery
I have no idea where I pulled my original numbers of .69 for 2nd and .50 for 3rd, but that's what I had in the system before I started fiddling with the Beta league.
May 15, 2003 at 10:54PM View BBCode
Can anyone dig up some historical numbers for me? Average by decade or something like that?I have no idea where I pulled my original numbers of .69 for 2nd and .50 for 3rd, but that's what I had in the system before I started fiddling with the Beta league.
Dagwood30
year/SB's per team/SB success rate
1928 88 59%
1938 68 62%
1948 45 58%
1958 44 58%
1968 81 63%
1978 105 62%
1988 108 69%
1998 120 69%
May 16, 2003 at 03:25AM View BBCode
I found this, hope it helps.year/SB's per team/SB success rate
1928 88 59%
1938 68 62%
1948 45 58%
1958 44 58%
1968 81 63%
1978 105 62%
1988 108 69%
1998 120 69%
tysonlowery
Also, I slightly increased the tiredness a SP would have in the 9th inning, hopefully decreasing CG.
May 19, 2003 at 06:29PM View BBCode
Thanks for the info. I changed the underlying numbers back to .69 for 2nd base and .5 for 3rd base. I also decreased overall the chances that a guy would try to steal.Also, I slightly increased the tiredness a SP would have in the 9th inning, hopefully decreasing CG.
Pages: 1 2